Monday, April 29, 2024

Who will run the US House in 2025? Control could tip on California swing districts

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McCarthy’s deal to fund the government through mid-November passed the House with more support from Democrats than Republicans, demonstrating his inability to hold his caucus together on key votes. Garcia’s district needs 7,347 more people, according to Target Book calculations. It’s a competitive district, so whether it spreads into Democratic or Republican territory will probably determine whether Garcia survives the 2022 election. County and, combined, they’re short 615,000 people needed to justify that many seats. Which House seat evaporates in California will be the most important decision made by the independent Citizens Redistricting Commission, created by voters 13 years ago to end the sordid practice of self-serving state legislators carving out their own districts. Prior to the GOP's 40-year sentence as the minority party, several of its speakers had risen to the top rung largely on their personal popularity among their colleagues.

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Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene vows to force a vote next week on ousting House Speaker Mike Johnson - The Associated Press

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene vows to force a vote next week on ousting House Speaker Mike Johnson.

Posted: Wed, 01 May 2024 20:42:00 GMT [source]

More than half of the residents are white, while Asians account for nearly a quarter of the population. “Having Garvey, I think, does spike or further encourage Republican voters to turn out, and more importantly, to vote down the ticket,” Blain said. But others, like Blain, argue that Garvey’s presence could hurt down-ballot Democrats.

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Covers parts of Fresno and Tulare counties, including portions of Visalia and Fresno. House Minority Leader McCarthy sees a chance to ride his warm relationship with Trump into the House majority and a job he’s wanted for years — speaker. Covers parts of Alameda and Santa Clara counties, including Cupertino, Santa Clara and part of Fremont. Covers parts of San Francisco and San Mateo counties, including Daly City, San Mateo and Redwood City.

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MO lawmaker who led investigation into top House Republican likely subject of new complaint - Kansas City Star

MO lawmaker who led investigation into top House Republican likely subject of new complaint.

Posted: Thu, 02 May 2024 17:42:46 GMT [source]

After Maine’s ranked-choice tabulation, Rep. Jared Golden will win in the state’s 2nd Congressional District, CNN projects, defeating Republican Bruce Poliquin in a rematch of their 2018 contest for the same seat. Republican Rep. Mike Garcia will in California's 27 District, CNN projects, helping the GOP reach the 218 seats necessary to gain control of the House. The GOP has won the 218 seats necessary to claim the majority, according to CNN projections, and Democrats will have a narrow majority in the Senate. The tightest remaining contest in the state emerged in the Central Valley, where Democrat Adam Gray seized a tissue-thin lead after Republican John Duarte jumped ahead by 84 votes in a fight for an open seat in District 13. In the 45th District anchored in Orange County, Steel, a South Korean immigrant looking for a second term in Congress, faced Chen, a Navy reservist and the son of immigrants from Taiwan.

Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.), who has won a series of close races in his Omaha-based swing district, said he’d be happy to have Johnson come in and campaign for him. Some Republicans who backed the aid encountered little resistance from voters, who were far more willing to embrace it — and less interested in ousting the speaker over it — than their right-wing colleagues. Valadao is also being challenged from the right by a fellow Republican, former Fresno City Council member Chris Mathys. President Biden won the district in the 2020 election and it’s poised to be one of the most competitive districts in the country in November, unless a Democrat fails to make the runoff. Census every 10 years, California lost a congressional seat and many of the districts have changed.

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republican house

With no prominent Republican candidates, there is a strong likelihood that two Democrats will emerge from the March melee to face off in the November general election — as in 2022, when tech executive Rishi Kumar mounted an unsuccessful challenge to Eshoo. Stretching down the San Francisco peninsula to San Jose, this Silicon Valley-centric district is one of the wealthiest — and most expensive — in the entire country. Though majority white, it also has a large and politically influential Asian American community. The November race will be a rematch of the pair’s 2022 runoff, when Salas lost to Valadao by several thousand votes.

Democrats also were holding significant margins in several districts, including the Central Valley’s 9th, where Democratic Rep. Josh Harder had a nearly 13-point edge over Republican Tom Patti. The candidates initially made inflation and hate crimes against Asian Americans key issues. But the race took an ugly turn and most of it focused on accusation and recrimination. But the race took an ugly turn and most of it has focused on accusation and recrimination.

Two years ago, this was the second-closest House race in the nation, with Duarte winning by just 564 votes. It will be one of the most avidly watched races in the country again this year. Calvert — who has represented parts of the Inland Empire for more than three decades — narrowly staved off Rollins last cycle in a race that was far more competitive than expected.

Fearing November lockout, DCCC boosts one Dem for California seat

Plus, having him on the ballot may draw in moderate Republican and independent voters who remain sour on Trump. Now-incumbent GOP Rep. Mike Garcia beat Democrat Christy Smith in a 2019 special election to fill the seat, then twice more for full terms in 2020 and 2022. He will face off against George Whitesides, a fresh Democratic challenger, in November. Once solidly Republican, the district has been reconfigured by redistricting, and has undergone a political transition driven by younger, more diverse transplants from L.A. The district briefly switched from red to blue with former Rep. Katie Hill’s victory in 2018, but the young Democrat’s very public scandals and ultimate resignation helped hand the seat back to the GOP. The district’s new boundaries — which now include one of the largest concentrations of LGBTQ+ voters in the nation and liberal pockets of Californians in the desert — are far more friendly to Democrats.

He also served as ambassador to Germany from 2018 to 2020, and as special presidential envoy for Serbia and Kosovo peace negotiations from 2019 to 2021. In 2020, Bannon and others were accused by a federal grand jury of conspiracy to commit wire fraud and money laundering through a campaign to build a border wall. However, New York state prosecutors pursued the allegations, and a trial is expected next year. The former chairman of Breitbart News, which was founded in a Westwood basement, was chief executive officer of Trump’s 2016 campaign, and after the election served as senior counselor to the then-president for several months. Trump plans to collect another round of campaign cash when he visits California this week. On Friday night, donors who contribute $100,000 can join the former president at a roundtable in Beverly Hills to raise funds for a super PAC backing his campaign.

With Biden unpopular nationally, the race will test the depth of that transformation. Five of the six seats are currently held by Republicans, with four of those five in congressional districts that President Biden won in the 2020 election. Wealthy donors, the most Republican voters of any state in the nation, a deep bench of conservative leaders and an enormous cache of GOP presidential delegates mean the state is in play — even if it’s outside of public view.

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